Dikemas kini: 00:19 🟢 LIVE · MKS PAMP (mksprice.ezcon.my) Ahad, 18 Okt 2026
✦ Data sebenar: 64 hari · 1000 sim MC · Bukan data simulasi V8 EMERALD
✦ Harga per 1 Tael (37.8g)
▲ WE BUY
RM20,500
▲ +RM 652 hari ini
▼ WE SELL
RM20,798
▲ +RM 441 hari ini
Spread emas RM 298 XAU: USD 4,178/oz USD/MYR: 4.0933
Pergerakan Harga — Data Sebenar
Penunjuk Teknikal ✦ v8 Data Sebenar (64 hari)
RSI (14)
48.2
NEUTRAL
MACD Real
+9
🌟 GOLDEN CROSS
Bollinger
BEARISH
BAND 43%
ROC Momentum
▼ TURUN
5H: -0.48%
MA 50
RM 21,475
DI BAWAH MA
Isyarat Keseluruhan
NEUTRAL
NEUTRAL
📊 PARAS SOKONGAN & RINTANGAN (Swing S/R Sebenar)
RINTANGAN ▲
RM 20,898
RM 21,669
SOKONGAN ▼
RM 20,520
RM 20,053
⬡ Harga Semasa per Tael
▲ WE BUY
RM 20,500
▼ WE SELL
RM 20,798
🎲 MONTE CARLO — 1,000 SENARIO
DRIFT HARIAN
+0.0421%
VOLATILITY σ
1.3762%/hari
DATA SEBENAR
64 HARI
μ dan σ dikira dari log-returns sebenar 64 hari harga harian. Tiada sin() palsu.
Ramalan Monte Carlo — Distribusi Harga
Tempoh
▲ WE BUY (P50)
▼ WE SELL (P50)
Esok
19 Oct 2026
RM 20,288
P10: 19,927 — P90: 20,632
RM 20,808
▲ +0.0%
▲ Naik 28.4% = Sideways 52.5% ▼ Turun 19.1%
Julat 80%: RM 20,438 — RM 21,161
3 Hari
21 Oct 2026
RM 20,297
P10: 19,726 — P90: 20,918
RM 20,817
▲ +0.1%
▲ Naik 34.5% = Sideways 35.2% ▼ Turun 30.3%
Julat 80%: RM 20,232 — RM 21,454
7 Hari
25 Oct 2026
RM 20,312
P10: 19,401 — P90: 21,377
RM 20,833
▲ +0.2%
▲ Naik 44.5% = Sideways 19.4% ▼ Turun 36.1%
Julat 80%: RM 19,898 — RM 21,925
14 Hari
1 Nov 2026
RM 20,380
P10: 19,154 — P90: 21,809
RM 20,903
▲ +0.5%
▲ Naik 49.2% = Sideways 13.5% ▼ Turun 37.3%
Julat 80%: RM 19,645 — RM 22,368
21 Hari
8 Nov 2026
RM 20,560
P10: 18,912 — P90: 22,213
RM 21,087
▲ +1.4%
▲ Naik 49.4% = Sideways 13.7% ▼ Turun 36.9%
Julat 80%: RM 19,397 — RM 22,783
30 Hari
17 Nov 2026
RM 20,709
P10: 18,587 — P90: 22,635
RM 21,240
▲ +2.1%
▲ Naik 53.5% = Sideways 11.2% ▼ Turun 35.3%
Julat 80%: RM 19,064 — RM 23,215
Carta MC — Julat P10/P50/P90
30 hari ke hadapan
🔬 KOMPONEN RAMALAN (BLEND)
Esok (19 Oct 2026)
RM 20,808
MC P50 (55%)
RM 20,836
Holt (25%)
RM 20,576
Bank (10%)
RM 20,860
Makro (10%)
RM 20,796
🔴 Rintangan: RM 20,898
🟢 Sokongan: RM 20,520
3 Hari (21 Oct 2026)
RM 20,817
MC P50 (55%)
RM 20,822
Holt (25%)
RM 20,516
Bank (10%)
RM 20,983
Makro (10%)
RM 20,793
🔴 Rintangan: RM 20,898
🟢 Sokongan: RM 20,520
7 Hari (25 Oct 2026)
RM 20,833
MC P50 (45%)
RM 20,881
Holt (20%)
RM 20,396
Bank (22%)
RM 21,233
Makro (13%)
RM 20,786
🔴 Rintangan: RM 20,898
🟢 Sokongan: RM 20,520
14 Hari (1 Nov 2026)
RM 20,903
MC P50 (35%)
RM 20,973
Holt (18%)
RM 20,187
Bank (33%)
RM 21,677
Makro (14%)
RM 20,773
🔴 Rintangan: RM 20,898
🟢 Sokongan: RM 20,520
21 Hari (8 Nov 2026)
RM 21,087
MC P50 (25%)
RM 20,976
Holt (15%)
RM 19,977
Bank (45%)
RM 22,130
Makro (15%)
RM 20,761
🔴 Rintangan: RM 20,898
🟢 Sokongan: RM 20,520
30 Hari (17 Nov 2026)
RM 21,240
MC P50 (25%)
RM 21,118
Holt (15%)
RM 19,708
Bank (45%)
RM 22,727
Makro (15%)
RM 20,745
🔴 Rintangan: RM 20,898
🟢 Sokongan: RM 20,520
🎲 Monte Carlo Simulation v8:
• 1,000 senario dijana menggunakan log-normal distribution
• μ (drift) dan σ (volatility) dikira dari data harian sebenar — bukan formula sin() atau angka statik
• P10 = 10% kemungkinan harga jatuh bawah paras ini; P90 = 10% kemungkinan harga naik atas paras ini
• Probability naik/turun/sideways dikira dari distribusi kesemua 1,000 simulasi
⚠️ Bukan nasihat pelaburan — untuk rujukan sahaja.
🤖 AI CONFIDENCE SCORE — v8 DATA SEBENAR
ARAH RAMALAN
NEUTRAL
50%
keyakinan arah
KETEPATAN ARAH
A
61.6%
% arah betul · backtest
Gabungan: MACD · RSI · Bollinger · ROC · Holt's · Backtest
🔔 ALERT ISYARAT TEKNIKAL 1 Aktif
📈
MACD Golden Cross
MACD potong Signal dari bawah — momentum beli bermula.
🧾 REKOD RAMALAN LANGSUNG — BUKTI SEBENAR
Setiap ramalan direkod & diskor automatik apabila tarikh tiba — tanpa suntikan manual
RAMALAN MATANG
101
ARAH BETUL
67.3%
RALAT PURATA
1.06%
17 Oct → 18 Oct (1h) 20,801 vs 20,798 ✗ silap · 0.01%
16 Oct → 17 Oct (1h) 20,804 vs 20,798 ✗ silap · 0.03%
14 Oct → 15 Oct (1h) 20,619 vs 20,802 ✓ betul · 0.88%
14 Oct → 17 Oct (3h) 20,637 vs 20,798 ✓ betul · 0.77%
13 Oct → 14 Oct (1h) 20,844 vs 20,602 ✓ betul · 1.17%
13 Oct → 16 Oct (3h) 20,822 vs 20,802 ✓ betul · 0.1%
12 Oct → 13 Oct (1h) 20,739 vs 20,813 ✗ silap · 0.36%
12 Oct → 15 Oct (3h) 20,719 vs 20,802 ✗ silap · 0.4%
📊 WALK-FORWARD BACKTEST
Ramalan vs harga sebenar — 64 hari data sebenar · Gred dinilai ikut % arah betul
GRED
A
RALAT PURATA
1.8%
ARAH BETUL
61.6%
walk-forward backtest
Esok
52.8% arah betul (53 ujian)
1.04%
B
3 Hari
68.6% arah betul (51 ujian)
1.83%
A+
7 Hari
63.8% arah betul (47 ujian)
2.52%
A
📉 MACD REAL — EMA12/EMA26/Signal9
MACD
-179
Signal
-188
Histogram
+9
🌟 Golden Cross — Signal BELI
Dikira dari 64 hari data sebenar
📈
Rekod Harga Harian
14 HARI
Bandingkan harga setiap hari. Tanda LIVE = hari yang direkam tracker ramalan.
Jangkaan Akan Datang direkod 18 Okt
Esok · sasaran 19 Okt
RM 20,808
▲ 0%
3 Hari · sasaran 21 Okt
RM 20,817
▲ 0.1%
7 Hari · sasaran 25 Okt
RM 20,833
▲ 0.2%
Harga 14 Hari Terakhir E = esok · 3H/7H = tempoh hari · ✓ arah betul
Tarikh
Harga Jual
Perubahan
16 Okt LIVE
20,554
▲ +197 (0.97%)
7H 20,791 → 20,554 ✓ 1.15% 3H 20,822 → 20,554 ✓ 1.3%
15 Okt
20,357
▼ -70 (-0.34%)
7H 20,527 → 20,357 ✓ 0.84% 3H 20,719 → 20,357 ✓ 1.78% E 20,619 → 20,357 ✗ 1.29%
14 Okt LIVE
20,427
▼ -172 (-0.83%)
E 20,844 → 20,427 ✓ 2.04%
13 Okt LIVE
20,599
▲ +25 (0.12%)
7H 20,635 → 20,599 ✓ 0.17% 3H 20,851 → 20,599 ✓ 1.22% E 20,739 → 20,599 ✓ 0.68%
12 Okt LIVE
20,574
▼ -79 (-0.38%)
3H 20,851 → 20,574 ✓ 1.35%
9 Okt LIVE
20,653
▲ +359 (1.77%)
7H 20,441 → 20,653 ✓ 1.03% 3H 20,719 → 20,653 ✓ 0.32% E 20,664 → 20,653 ✓ 0.05%
8 Okt LIVE
20,294
▼ -31 (-0.15%)
7H 20,516 → 20,294 ✓ 1.09%
7 Okt
20,325
▲ +56 (0.28%)
7H 20,648 → 20,325 ✓ 1.59% 3H 20,574 → 20,325 ✓ 1.23% E 20,785 → 20,325 ✓ 2.26%
6 Okt LIVE
20,269
▼ -57 (-0.28%)
3H 20,573 → 20,269 ✓ 1.5%
5 Okt
20,326
▼ -243 (-1.18%)
3H 20,527 → 20,326 ✓ 0.99% E 20,660 → 20,326 ✓ 1.64%
2 Okt LIVE
20,569
▲ +0 (0%)
7H 21,337 → 20,569 ✓ 3.73% E 20,717 → 20,569 ✓ 0.72%
1 Okt LIVE
20,569
▲ +35 (0.17%)
7H 21,213 → 20,569 ✓ 3.13% E 20,844 → 20,569 ✓ 1.34%
30 Sep LIVE
20,534
▲ +245 (1.21%)
7H 21,242 → 20,534 ✓ 3.45%
29 Sep
20,289
—
7H 21,542 → 20,289 ✓ 6.18% 3H 21,291 → 20,289 ✓ 4.94%
Skor Tracker — Ramalan Matang
MATANG
101
ARAH BETUL
67.3%
RALAT
1.06%
Kalkulator Emas
Harga Tael RM·live
Tolak (−) RM
Darab (×) nilai
( — − — ) × — ÷ 37.8
Harga per Gram RM —
✦
SyaurahGold
Sistem Ramalan & Pemantauan Harga Emas
Versi8.0 EMERALD GLASS 💎
History✦ Data SEBENAR — 64 hari (bukan sin() palsu)
Monte Carlo✅ 1,000 senario · Log-normal dari σ sebenar
Probability✅ % naik/turun/sideways dari distribusi MC
Pivot S/R✅ Swing high/low sebenar dari data
DXY🟢 Live dari stooq.com
XAU/USD🟢 Live dari fawazahmed0
USD/MYR🟢 Live dari MKS PAMP API
ModelMonte Carlo + Holt's + Bank Consensus + Makro
Backtest✅ Walk-forward · Gred: A · 61.6%
Kemas kini hargaSetiap 3 saat (auto-refresh)
Kemas kini historySetiap 1 jam (cache)
Sumber hargaMKS PAMP (mksprice.ezcon.my)
Status🟢 LIVE
⚠️ SyaurahGold v8 menggunakan data harga sejarah sebenar dan simulasi statistik. Walau bagaimanapun, ramalan ini BUKAN jaminan — harga emas dipengaruhi oleh faktor luar jangkaan. Bukan nasihat pelaburan.